Northumberland Plate Festival Betting: Your Quick Guide

Northumberland Plate Festival

The 3-day Northumberland Plate Festival has become one of the biggest Flat racing events on the calendar in the North of England. This year, the festival begins on Thursday 29 June and ends with the main event, the Northumberland Plate, on Saturday 1 July. Plate day on Day 3 attracts up to 24,000 visitors, and an increasing number of female attendees view the festival as a more relaxed and informal version of Royal Ascot in terms of fashion.

In this short guide, I will focus on the main race on each of the three days: The Seaton Delaval, the Gosforth Park Cup and of course, the Northumberland Plate.


Best Northumberland Plate Festival Betting Sites

22Bet 100% up to €122Claim Now18+ to Play, T&Cs Apply
Bet365 Bet £10, Get £50 in Free BetsClaim NowNew Customers only. Bet £10* & Get £50* in Free Bets. Sign up, deposit between £5* and £10* to your account and bet365 will give you five times that value in Free Bets when you place qualifying bets to the same value and they are settled. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits. Min odds/bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. T&Cs, time limits & exclusions apply.
William Hill Bet £10, Get £30Promo Code: H30Claim Now18+ to Play, T&Cs Apply
BetVictor Bet £5, Get £30Claim Now18+ to Play, T&Cs Apply

Thursday 29 June – The Seaton Delaval Handicap

This Class 2 event offers £21,788 to the winner, and at the time of writing, there are 14 runners for this race which is run over a distance of 1 mile and 5 yards. It is a relatively new race having been instituted in 2005, but there is enough data to find some interesting trends.

Last 5 Winners

Year

Winner

Odds (SP)

2012

Swiftly Done

6/1

2013

My Freedom

6/1

2014

Dance and Dance

9/2

2015

A Dead Heat Between Red Avenger & Eutropius

10/1 & 8/1 respectively

2016

Mothers Finest

10/1

Betting Trends & Information

Briardale is the early favourite for the race at 9/2 with Replenish the second favourite at 5/1 although he is joint favourite in several places. Qaffaal is next on the list at 6/1 along with Constantino and the rest of the field is available at 7/1. The favourite is coming off the back of an excellent 6 length win over 1 mile 2 furlongs at Redcar on May 29. As impressive as the performance was, favourites don’t fare well in this fledgling event.

  • 1/13 favourites have won the race.
  • 10/13 winners have run within the previous 30 days.
  • 12/13 winners have had at least 2 season runs.
  • 12/13 winners did so at odds of 9/2 or longer.

The Seaton Delaval Handicap is a notoriously difficult race to predict as Tartan Gunna (in 2010) is the only favourite to have ever won the race. There have been some thrilling finishes in recent years. Mothers Finest held off Si Senor by one length last year, and in 2015, Red Avenger and Eutropius ran to a dead heat. With 5 races in 2017 and 2 wins, Briardale looks like a good bet but can he overturn a history of failing favourites, especially with a 10 pound increase on his last race?

Friday 30 June – Gosforth Cup Handicap

This is another Class 2 event, and the winner takes home just over £28,000. It is a sprint event over 5 furlongs and promises to be a fast, furious and unpredictable affair. The race was abandoned due to a storm in 2012, so I have included the winner from 2011 here.

Last 5 Winners

Year

Winner

Odds (SP)

2011

Ancient Cross

11/1

2013

Magical Macey

8/1

2014

Robot Boy

100/30

2015

Northgate Lad

6/4

2016

Orion’s Bow

9/4

Betting Trends & Information

Orion’s Bow is the early betting favourite at 5/1 as she seeks to retain his title. Line of Reason is second favourite at 11/2, Robot Boy is next up at 6/1 and the rest of the field is 7/1+.

  • 12/19 winners were first or second favourite.
  • 18/19 winners had 2+ season runs.
  • 19/19 winners had run within the previous 60 days, 16/19 ran within the previous 30 days.

Although there have been a number of winners at the top of the betting market, the odds for the favourite are usually quite long. For example, there have only been 2 winners since 1997 with odds of 9/4 or less and both wins came in the last two years. Orion’s Bow was the 9/4 favourite when he held off the challenge of Bowson Fred to win by a length in 2016.

While it would be folly to ignore the challenge of Orion’s Bow, last year’s winner has failed to finish in the Top 3 in any of his three races this season. His nearest challenger according to the bookies, Line of Reason, won his last race at 11/1 and left Orion’s Bow in his wake. Can he repeat the trick or will last year’s champion regain form at just the right time?

Saturday, July 1 – Northumberland Plate

The Northumberland Plate is the race everyone will be coming to see on Saturday. It is run over 2 miles and 56 yards and has total prize money of £140,000 with over £86,000 for the winner. The Plate was first run in 1833 although it did not move to its current location at Gosforth Park until 1883. Thanks to the sponsorship of John Smith’s, it is now one of the most lucrative 2-mile handicap races in the world.

Last 5 Winners

Year

Winner

Odds (SP)

2012

Ille De Re

5/2

2013

Tominator

8/1

2014

Angel Gabrial

4/1

2015

Quest For More

15/2

2016

Dannyday

7/2

Betting Trends & Information

The number of entrants in The Northumberland Plate is unknown at the time of writing. Flymetothestars is the 5/1 favourite with SkyBet and several others. You can get 11/2 at Betfair. Seamour is the second favourite with odds of between 9/2 (Stan James) and 6/1 and is actually the 9/2 favourite at Betway. Other possible entries in with a chance include Higher Power at 7/1 and National Scenery at 9/1.

  • 12/19 winners were outside of the top 3 in the betting market.
  • 14/19 winners won at odds of 13/2+.
  • 15/19 winners finished in the Top 3 in their previous race.
  • The last 19 winners ran 8-60 days before the race.
  • 16/19 winners had 1-3 season runs.

The Northumberland Plate is always a hard race to call although there have been some relatively short odds winners in recent years in what is a contrast to the period from 2001 to 2011 when 9 out of 11 winners were 10/1+.

The current favourite, Flymetothestars, is trained by Sir Mark Prescott and could have Luke Morris on board. He has won 3 out of 4 races including a victory in his last race at Newcastle which was over 2 miles on May 16. Second favourite Seamour finished third at York over 1 mile 5 furlongs in his only race this season.

James Fanshawe trains Higher Power, and he believes his entry will perform well on the all-weather track. He did not run at Ascot because he does not like hard ground. Higher Power has finished second on both outings this season but his runner-up spot at Sandown on May 25, where he finished five lengths behind Big Orange, bodes well since his rival went on to beat Order of St George at the Ascot Gold Cup. If he produces similar form, the 7/1 on offer could be a steal.

Similar Posts