2017 Cambridgeshire Meeting at Newmarket

The 2017 Cambridgeshire Meeting is a 3-day event at Newmarket’s Rowley Mile racecourse and begins on Thursday, 28 September. It is unquestionably one of autumn’s best meetings and race goers will be keen to attend this year due to the cancellation of the Ayr festival.

Quality is very much the word of the festival as there are an incredible nine Class 1 races including two Group 1 events which both take place on Saturday. In this guide, we look at three races – one from each day.


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Tattersall’s Somerville Stakes

Thursday, 28 September

This Group 3 race is the first of the nine Class 1 events at the festival and takes place over 7 furlongs. It is only open to colts and geldings aged 2+yo although it was once open to horses of both genders. It was promoted to Group 3 level in 2000, and the winners tend to race in the Racing Post Trophy or the Dewhurst Stakes later in the year. The winner takes home a prize of over £28,000.

Previous Winners

YearWinnerSP
2012Havana Gold6/5
2013Miracle of Medinah25/1
2014Maftool7/2
2015Sanus Per Aquam2/1
2016Larchmont Lad8/1

Betting Trends & Information

There were 9 confirmed entries at the time of writing with Elarqam installed at the 3/1 favourite. Albishr is the second favourite at 7/2 with Morlock next at 5/1 with the rest of the field 6/1 bar.

  • Only 4/20 favourites have won the race.
  • 16/20 winners last ran 16-60 days before the race.
  • 16/20 winners had 2-4 season runs.
  • 6/10 winners won at odds of 15/2 or greater.

The statistics don’t bode well for the favourite Elarqam who won his only race, a Class 3 event over 7f at York. Morlock had a similarly easy win, in Class 4 company, in his only race. However, Albishr ticks many of the boxes with three season runs including second place in a Class 1 event at Salisbury over a mile.

Since the event regularly features winners at longer odds, Tangled could be worth a look at 10/1. His last run was a torrid affair but boasts good form before his ninth place at Doncaster with two Class 2 wins.

Betting Odds

We have an idea of what the outright odds will be once the racecard is published, but futures on this race were not open at publishing. As soon as our recommended horse racing bookmakers begin taking odds on this race, we will update this section with races. In the meantime, read on for odds on the other big races of the week.

Shadwell Joel Stakes

Friday, 29 September

This Group 2 race is arguably the highlight of a stacked Friday card. It is open to all horses aged 3+yo and takes place over 1 mile. It is a relatively new event as it was inaugurated in 1987 and was originally named after a famous horse called Main Reef which was trained by Jim Joel. When the trainer died in 1992, he was honoured by changing the race’s name to the Joel Stakes in 1994. It was promoted to Group 3 status in 2003 and has a total prize fund of £100,000.

Previous Winners

YearWinnerSP
2012Penitent10/1
2013Soft Falling Rain13/8
2014Custom Cut15/2
2015Time Test10/11
2016Cougar Mountain15/2

Betting Trends & Information

There were 15 runners for the Joel Stakes at the time of writing with Beat the Bank the early favourite at 11/4. Zonderland is the second favourite; Mustashry and Sir John Lavery are next at 9/2 with the rest of the field 12/1 bar.

  • 11/20 winners were in the first two in the betting market.
  • 16/20 winners had 3+ season runs.
  • 7/8 winners had an OR of 112+
  • 16/20 winners were 3yo or 4yo

We can confirm that the early money is being placed on Beat the Bank with 40% of all bets on the race being placed on this horse three days out from the race. The 3yo certainly ticks the right trend boxes as he has an OR of 114, has five races this season (four wins including two Class 1 races), and is in the first two in the betting market.

Zonderland is giving up four pounds and has only raced once this season; albeit a good second place in a Class 1 affair. Sovereign Debt has the same OR as the favourite but is carrying seven pounds which is why he is 12/1. Of the others, Sir John Lavery and Mustashry are obvious threats having both won Class 1 races this season.

Betting Odds

 Racebets.comBet365William Hill
Beat the Bank5/22/111/4
Zonderland10/37/24/1
Mustashry4/14/14/1
Sir John Lavery10/34/14/1
Sovereign Debt8/19/112/1
Whisky Baron12/110/112/1
Dicton16/114/116/1
War Decree12/114/112/1
Music Box14/114/114/1
Rain Goddess14/114/116/1
Jallota16/116/116/1
Arod20/120/19/1
Cougar Mountain20/120/120/1
Custom Cut20/120/116/1
Whitecliffsofdover20/120/120/1
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Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes

Saturday, 28 September

We are really spoiled for choice on Saturday with two Group 1 races and a Group 2 event. The Middle Park Stakes is a Group 1 race open to 2yo colts only. It is run over 6 furlongs and was established way back in 1866, and the race has been part of the Breeder’s Cup Challenge Series since 2012. Winners typically enter the following year’s 2,000 Guineas, and the winner receives over £100,000.

Previous Winners

YearWinnerSP
2012Reckless Abandon9/4
2013Astaire8/1
2014Charming Thought22/1
2015Shalaa1/2
2016The Last Lion25/1

Betting Trends & Information

At the time of writing, the hotly anticipated Middle Park Stakes has 15 runners. Unfortunately is the 7/2 favourite followed by Sands of Mali at 4/1. Sioux Nation is next at 5/1 with the rest of the field 6/1 bar.

  • 11/20 winners were in the first two in the betting market.
  • 16/20 winners last ran 8-60 days before the race.
  • 15/20 winners had 2-4 season runs.

If the line-up stays as it is, we could be in for one of the best races of the Flat season. Sioux Nation is certainly worth consideration as the Aiden O’Brien colt won the Group 1 Phoenix Stakes to add to an earlier win at Ascot.

The favourite Unfortunately has shown steady improvement and is a threat as is 8/1 shot Rajasingshe who won the Coventry Stakes earlier in the year. He missed the Prix Morny and the Gimcrack Stakes but should be fit and firing for this one. Beckford is worth a mention at 6/1 and was only half a length behind Sioux Nation at the Phoenix Stakes so it won’t take much to overcome that disadvantage.

Betting Odds

 Racebets.comBet365William Hill
Unfortunately7/27/23/1
Sands of Mali4/14/14/1
Sioux Nation7/24/14/1
Beckford11/29/211/2
Rajasinghe15/25/17/1
Cardsharp8/18/18/1
US Navy Flag7/18/18/1
Hey Jonesy10/112/110/1
Brother Bear20/120/133/1
Declarationofpeace20/120/125/1
Fleet Review25/120/125/1
Frozen Angel20/120/125/1
Never Back Down33/125/125/1
Romanised25/125/125/1
Danzan25/128/125/1
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