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Prediction markets

Economics & Finance

Contracts settling on macroeconomic data releases and financial-market levels — Fed rate decisions, inflation, jobs, GDP, and index, commodity or asset prices.

Overview

About Economics & Finance Markets

Each contract pays out based on whether an announced figure or market close falls within a stated threshold or range, referencing official data prints (Fed decisions, BLS reports) or measurable closes, which makes settlement objective and tied to a scheduled event.

This is a core, high-frequency category on Kalshi and a growing one on Polymarket, and it anchors the newer operator products (DraftKings, FanDuel, Fanatics) launched alongside sports.

Regulatory status

How Economics & Finance Markets Are Regulated

Generally the least-contested category — financial and macroeconomic event contracts fall within the CFTC’s core derivatives jurisdiction (referencing "excluded commodities"), and some operator products are built on established regulated futures infrastructure for this reason.

Where to play

Where to Trade Economics & Finance Markets